Description

The Auckland Region Mediated Modelling (MM) provided an opportunity for 9 - 15 representative stakeholders to come together over a period of three workshops (September, November 2011 & March 2012) to interactively build a scoping model to link social, cultural, economic and environmental issues in one framework. Stakeholders identified and built their understanding and mutual appreciation of the key stocks and flows in the model (such as ethnic density, land use, healthcare, employment and education) and the dynamic interaction between these variables. The scoping model with linkages and feedbacks can be run over-time to illustrate long-term intended and unintended consequences of decisions. This model has been developed by Ecological Economics Research New Zealand (EERNZ) and was mainly used for policy formulation in the Auckland Region. This model describes some interlinkages between population growth, education, health, natural capital and economics. It represents a summary of a dialogue among stakeholders where the focus was on the dialogue and the model building was used to help structure the dialogue.

Purpose

To support a broad dialogue among stakeholders of the Auckland Council with regard to the interlinkages between the 4 aspects of well-being (social, cultural, economic and environmental) in the context of spatial planning in Auckland.

Latest Version Not versioned
State of Development Released and final
Current Development Activity an on-going effort as part of SP2 (2009 – 2015)

Development Contact

Marjan van den Belt
m.vandenbelt@massey.ac.nz
64 - (0)6 - 356 9099 extn 81512
Ecological Economics Research New Zealand
Ecological Economics Research New Zealand Massey University Social Sciences Tower, room 8.01 PN 835 Palmerston North 4442 New Zealand

Main Developers

  • Ecological Economics Research new Zealand (EERNZ)

Scope

Outcome Areas Economic, Environmental, Social
Management Domains Urban Systems
Subdomains Education, Health, Land Use
Intended End Users The Auckland Regional Council
Temporal Resolutions Years
Temporal Extents Decades
Steady State or Dynamic Dynamic
Level of Integration Economic, Environmental, Social

Input & Output Data

Key Input Data Macro-economic data, Land Use, Land Cover, Population cohorts, Migration, Fertility Education, Health, Ethnicity
Input Data Formats Stella file-type
Key Output Data Regional Attractiveness, Education, Health, Ethnicity
Output Data Formats Stella file-type

Accessibility

Open/Closed Source Open Source
Licence Type No Licence
Licence Cost
(Non Commercial)
$
Licence Cost
(Commercial)
$

User Information

Operating Systems MS Windows
Software Needed Stella/Ithink
User Interface Graphical desktop
Ease of Use Easy The graphical interface allows you to set parameter values and allows you to ren en reset the model. Ther is even a web-accessible version of the model through Forio.
Use in Policy Process Plan (Policy Formulation)
Documentation van den Belt, M., Forgie, V., Stouten, H., Cooper, G., McDonald, G. (2011) Auckland Region Mediated Modelling: Post report supporting Action Research and Integrated Assessments. Report, Ecological Economics Research New Zealand, Palmerston North, 66p. van den Belt, M., Forgie, V., Stouten, H., Solomon, R., McDonald, G. (2012) Auckland Region Mediated Modelling: Post report supporting Action Research and Integrated Assessments. Report, Ecological Economics Research New Zealand, Palmerston North.
Support Marjan van den Belt
Users Forum Not Available

Technical Considerations

Methods included for calibration and validation The model was callibrated against historical data trends.
Methods included for managing uncertainty This model does not deal with uncertainty
Analytical Techniques Mediated Modeling
Model Structure

ARM Model Structure

The Auckland regional model is currently composed of nine interlinked sectors. The nine interlinked sectors are: 1) Population and Ethnic Groups, 2) Employment Economics Attractiveness and Funding, 3) Education, 4) Health, 5) Land Use and Natural Capital, 6) Transport, 7) Social, 8) Government or Policy solutions, and 9) External Factors.

Keywords Auckland Region, Mediated Modelling, Regional Planning, Regional Attractiveness, Ethnicity, the four well-beings, System Dynamics
Links http://www.sp2.org.nz/mediated-modelling-workshops/auckland-workshops/ http://forio.com/simulate/m.vandenbelt/the-auckland-regional-model (to run the model straight from the web)
Key References van den Belt, M., Forgie, V., Stouten, H., Cooper, G., McDonald, G. (2011) Auckland Region Mediated Modelling: Post report supporting Action Research and Integrated Assessments. Report, Ecological Economics Research New Zealand, Palmerston North, 66p. van den Belt, M., Forgie, V., Stouten, H., Solomon, R., McDonald, G. (2012) Auckland Region Mediated Modelling: Post report supporting Action Research and Integrated Assessments. Report, Ecological Economics Research New Zealand, Palmerston North.